HONEST PORTFOLIOS
Free guide — July 2026 edition

The AI trade just dropped 17–49%.
Here's what actually matters.

The AI-Era Starter Portfolio: six positions for the next decade, fully updated during the correction — with every drawdown shown, including our own. No hype. No cherry-picking. Just the honest numbers.

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Why trust a guide you've never heard of? Because we show you our losses.

We published the first version of this portfolio in April 2026. Then the AI trade corrected — hard. Most services would quietly delete that PDF. We updated it and put the numbers on the cover:

PositionRoleSince the 52-week high
SMH — VanEck Semiconductor ETFChips−17%
AVGO — BroadcomCustom silicon−25%
CEG — Constellation EnergyNuclear power−39%
Bitcoin (via IBIT)Digital scarcity−49%
QQQI — Nasdaq 100 IncomeIncome & stability−6%
"A guide that only publishes its winners isn't a guide. It's an ad."

Inside the free guide: what we're holding, what we changed and why, the rules-based Bitcoin framework that just activated for the first time — and the exact signals that would tell us the thesis is breaking.

The thesis: AI is a physical system — not a narrative

Every AI query answered requires chips, power, networking, and cooling. The companies that own those physical layers are the picks and shovels of the biggest buildout since the internet. A correction changes the prices — it doesn't change the physics.

What we own

The infrastructure AI cannot run without: semiconductors, custom chips, power generation, an income layer for stability, and a rules-based Bitcoin position.

What we don't own

AI apps, chatbots, SaaS-AI, pre-revenue story stocks, or anything dependent on consumer sentiment. We invest where compute is scarce — not where narratives are loud.

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All picks logged publicly — winners and losers. One honest price when we launch. No upsells, ever.